Tuesday, September 14, 2021

A Small Cap Equity holding: Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV, $46.71): “Until Death Do Us Part” By: Maddy Aubry, AIM Student at Marquette University

Carriage Services, Inc. (CSV, $46.71): “Until Death Do Us Part”

By: Maddy Aubry, AIM Student at Marquette University

Disclosure: The AIM Equity Fund currently holds this position. This article was written by myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it and I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

 Summary

Carriage Services, Inc. (NYSE:CSV) provides funeral and cemetery products and services across the United States. The funeral segment offers services to families related to the consultation, removal, and preparation of remains, sale of caskets, and the use of visitation, remembrance, and transportation. The cemetery segment provides interment rights and merchandise including makers and outer burial containers.

• Management is looking forward to new capital allocation opportunities related to acquisitions in 2021.

 CSV is seeing record breaking earnings.

• The outlook for the funeral and cemetery industry will result in exciting things to come for CSV related to the rising popularity of cremation.

• CSV is expected to outperform key competitors over the next 3 years.  

Key points: After focusing on paying down debt in 2020 and into the beginning of 2021, management is excited to announce that they are now able to focus on new, more structured capital allocation framework and opportunities. Specifically, they are looking forward to future acquisitions after completing a detailed review and refresh of their strategic acquisition model that has been inspired by their most recent acquisitions.

Over the last two years, CSV has seen much transformation that has been strongly reflected in their earnings. During that time, EBITDA has increased by nearly 70%, and, over the past twelve months, EPS has increased by 116%. More specifically, CSV has seen record breaking earnings so far this year. For the first half of 2021, CSV’s total revenue and EPS increased 19.3% and 83.5% respectively.

The funeral and cemetery industry, including CSV, is focusing its efforts on new sales techniques and skillsets that will generate success in the future. With the cremation option becoming more popular, funeral directors can have meaningful conversations with families and offer unique service options. With the addition of these personalized celebrations of life, it offers opportunity to add value and continue to grow. Management states that they are excited to gage perspective from younger funeral directors and arrangers in terms of their mindset related to the possibilities that come with cremation options, and they believe the upside is tremendous.

Key competitors of Carriage Services Inc include Service Corporation International (SCI) and Park Lawn Corporation (PLC). Over the next three years, CSV is expected to be the fastest growing, with the highest margin, while trading at the lowest valuation. Specifically, CSV’s three-year EPS is expected to grow by over 100% whereas SCI’s and PLC’s are expected to grow by about 40% and 70% respectively.

What has the stock done lately?

After seeing a slight decline in June and the start of a bounce back in July, CSV showed strong returns in the month of August. CSV priced at its lowest in the first few days of July with a price of about $34.58 but has recently reached a price high of $48.20 with a 1 month return of 26.21% and a month to date return of 1.04%.

Past Year Performance: CSV has increased by 110.88% in value over the last twelve months, and they are still performing strong to date. About 12 months ago, CSV was aligned with the benchmark and seeing inconsistent activity. Over the past 11 months, CSV has followed similar trends of the benchmark, but they have consistently been outperforming.

Source: FactSet
My Takeaway

Overall, Carriage Services, Inc has been positively affected by the pandemic over the past year. While we are all hoping the pandemic is in its final stages, it seems that CSV will continue to provide strong returns for the remainder of the year and into next. With the equity reaching 52-week highs and year to date returns nearing 50%, this seems to be a holding to hang on to for a while longer.

Source: FactSet