Wednesday, May 1, 2019

A Current AIM Small Cap Equity Holding: Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO, $32.57): “A SHOO to go Mad for” By: Mary Kate Simon, AIM Student at Marquette University

Steven Madden, Ltd. (SHOO, $32.57): “A SHOO to go Mad for”
By: Mary Kate Simon, AIM Student at Marquette University

 

Disclosure: The AIM Equity Fund currently holds this position. This article was written by myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it and I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

 Summary

Steven Madden, Ltd. (NASDAQ: SHOO) designs, markets and provides private label and brand name footwear, handbags and accessories for women, men and children.

• Through retail stores and e-commerce websites, SHOO sells their products in the United States and internationally.

• Steve Madden has an established presence within fashion footwear, as it is coined one of the industry leaders.   

• The company derives almost all of its revenues domestically: in 2018, the United States accounted for 88% of total sales.

• SHOO had YOY net sales growth of 13% and an adjusted diluted EPS increase of 31%.

Key points:

 Steven Madden continues to grow and increase their market share. What started as a small investment of $1100, SHOO has developed into one of the most iconic brands in footwear.  In the past, Steven Madden has been highly focused on selling to younger women. However, the company continues to break barriers in whom they sell to. There continues to be a heavy increase in men’s sales, children sales and international sales.

Steven Madden’s brand development continues to outperform competitors. Their acquisition of Schwartz and Benjamin in 2017 differentiated the brand and created a platform for accessible luxury footwear. SHOO already licensed with five other companies; and with the addition of their acquisition of Schwartz and Benjamin is helping achieve a larger target market.  This brand development can add talk to why their full year ended December 31, 2018, net sales increased 7.0% to $1.65 billion from $1.55 billion in the prior year.

 The company’s international footprint continues to grow exponentially. Although only about 10% of their total sales come from outside the US, their international sales increased 22.29% from 2017 to 2018. This international exposure grew 7% more than the increase from 2016 to 2017. Moreover, SHOO has direct control over both their Canadian and Mexican operations—this gives them full power over these foreign markets. Another major positive within international affairs, is the fact that the China and Taiwan retail on online sales are expected to grow over $100 million in mid-term growth. Overall, Steven Madden’s international footprint proves growth opportunities in the near future.

Product innovation plays a major role in SHOO’s growth. Within their constant innovations, there remains a constant focus: their deepening target of the millennial generation. As millennials grow older, their incomes do as well. This creates a positive linear relationship for SHOO in terms of sales from their largest target market. In addition to their millennial pull, is their generation Z initiatives on social media platforms, such as Instagram. From offering speed and an experience to the millennials to offering value on social media platforms, Steve Madden outperforms their competitors by offering fashion-forward products in the best way to their largest target markets.

What has the stock done lately?

Over the last 52-week period, Steve Madden has seen a 5.30% gain in price. Although their 1 month performance, shows a price decline of 1.75%, their YTD has seen growth of 7.63%. The company is yielding a dividend of 1.72%.

Past Year Performance:

Although the apparel and accessories industry saw overall sluggish performance in 2018, Steve Madden delivered strong revenue growth and good margins. In Q4 2018, SHOO’s stock saw volatility despite the fact adjusted net income was $35.7 million, or $0.42 per diluted share, compared to $27.5 million, or $0.32 per diluted share, in the prior year's fourth quarter. Moreover, in that quarter, Blondo, one of Steven Madden’s brands, had net sales increase by over 50%, which proves customers excitement about this waterproof shoe brand.


Source: FactSet

My Takeaway:

Added to the AIM equity fund at $30.93 in late November, the company has experienced over 5% upside to date. Steven Madden, Ltd has had another year of expansion and growth in almost all of their segments. As management continues to move production out of China, the impact of the tariffs has decreased to solely affect 10% of the products. This positive, coupled with the international sales frontier, innovation to reach their largest market segment and brand development proves that SHOO should remain in the AIM portfolio.



Source: FactSet