Sunday, October 14, 2018

A Current AIM Program Small Cap Equity Holding: Exact Sciences Corporation (EXAS) by: Kyran Young. "Exact Path for Exact Sciences"



Exact Sciences Corporation (EXAS, $72.45): “Exact Path for Exact Sciences”
By: Kyran Young, AIM Student at Marquette University


Disclosure: The AIM Equity Fund currently holds this position. This article was written by myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it and I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

 Summary:

Exact Sciences Corporation (NASDAQ: EXAS) is a biotechnology company concentrating on the early detection and prevention of colorectal cancer. They developed an accurate and non-invasive Colon screening test, called Cologuard, for the detection of colorectal and pre-cancers. EXAS focuses exclusively in the U.S. and does not currently have plans to expand Cologuard internationally.

• In April, EXAS brought in a new president, Mark Stenhouse, to lead the Cologuard functions, such as sales, marketing, market access, commercial operations, and medical affairs.

• EXAS recently entered into a marketing agreement with Pfizer to help promote Cologuard. 
  
• EXAS is trading close to their 52-week highs, but has the potential to continue to grow given the strategic agreement with Pfizer.

Key points: 

Exact Sciences Corporation has experienced significant success over the past couple years, largely attributed to their Cologuard product. With their new president, Mark Stenhouse, and their new agreement with Pfizer, EXAS will continue to grow and deliver shareholder value.

EXAS recently hired Mark Stenhouse in April to serve as President. Prior to coming to EXAS, he led the sales and marketing team at Abbott Laboratories/AbbVie. Throughout his 30 years at Abbott Laboratories/AbbVie, his roles consisted of Vice President of U.S. Immunology, Vice President of Gastroenterology, Senior Director of Immunology, Marketing Director of Immunology, and Nationals Sales Director of Immunology. Mr. Stenhouse brings significant experience to EXAS and will bring many new ideas and exceptional leadership.

EXAS has entered into a 3-year relationship with Pfizer beginning in quarter 4 of 2018. Pfizer has agreed to provide EXAS marketing support in the form of 625,000 additional sales calls per year (double of what EXAS does annually) and advertising and promotional dollars in the range of $20 million and $24 million through 2021. In return, EXAS will pay Pfizer 50% of gross profits above an agreed upon revenue baseline. This deal will significantly increase EXAS share value due to Pfizer’s large market and respected reputation, which should help convert physicians who remain skeptical.
Management has guided to a successful quarter 3 as over 90% of patients do not get a bill, indicating insurance companies are more willing to cover the costs for Cologuard. Also, the addition of 100 new reps will help drive sales growth and volume.

What has the stock done lately?

Since the announcement in August to partner with Pfizer to help promote Cologuard, EXAS is up about 44.76%. It is trading near 52 week highs with a price of $72.45. The agreement is a strategic move by management that will help drive sales growth and increase shareholder value.

Past Year Performance: 

EXAS has increased 57.06% over the past year. This increase was largely driven by the agreement between Exact Sciences and Pfizer to help promote their Cologuard product. However, with Pfizer’s marketing help, EXAS will continue to experience positive sales growth and increased shareholder value.


Source: FactSet

My Takeaway:

Mark Stenhouse’s leadership and the agreement with Pfizer will be critical to the success of EXAS moving forward. Pfizer has the resources and market to help EXAS continue to implement Cologuard into hospitals and physician’s offices. With Mr. Stenhouse’s leadership and the help of Pfizer, EXAS could continue to grow and could push to new 52-week highs.

Source: FactSet