Wednesday, May 8, 2019

A Current AIM Small Cap Equity Holding: Columbia Banking System. (COLB, $37.64): “High Yield with Columbia” By: Matthew Prinske, AIM Student at Marquette University


Columbia Banking System. (COLB, $37.64): “High Yield with Columbia”
By: Matthew Prinske, AIM Student at Marquette University



Disclosure: The AIM Equity Fund currently holds this position. This article was written by myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it and I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

 Summary:

Columbia Banking System (NASDAQ: COLB): provides financial services through personal, business, commercial banking, and wealth management services.  The firm operates all of its 156 branches in the Pacific Northwest of the United States.  Columbia was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Tacoma, WA.

• Columbia was seeing issues with the achieving synergies from the acquisition of Pacific Continental Corporation, specifically within employee salary and benefit compensation.

• Columbia will pay a special dividend on top of their regular quarterly dividend which will yield 4.5% as of market close on 4/29/19.  This is significantly higher that industry average.

• Columbia just beat earnings expectations on April 25th by reporting earnings of $0.61, one cent higher than consensus estimates.

• COLB is trading $2.00 shy of the consensus price target, and has outpaced the A.I.M. price target of $18.50.

Key points: 

Columbia Banking System remains in the middle of one of the strongest areas of the United States.  Operating in the Pacific Northwest lends the bank to being spurred by technology growth in the area.  Strong earnings for tech has helped Columbia rally from their 52 week low in late March.

Management has made it clear that significant amount of resources are being placed into online banking for the time being.  There has been tremendous lift in the online banking sphere since the company rolled out a new consumer online banking platform that was released in July 2017.  This has lifted online deposit growth by nearly 40%.

Management issued a significant special dividend of $0.14, on top of the regular dividend of $0.28.  This represents a payout ratio of 67%.  Management stated that stock buy-back are unlikely unless there is a significant downward change in the stock price.

COLB ticked up their loan to deposit ratio about 2.5% over the last quarter to just over 82%.  This increase in loan to deposit ratio keeps COLB in what is often considered the ideal range.  The bank has been able to grow deposits well under low interest rates and will likely maintain a wait and see outlook due to the current uncertainty of interest rate movements.

What has the stock done lately?

COLB is trading directly in the middle of their 52 week high-low. The stock is up 2.25% on the year after trading down to their 52 week low of $30.65 in late March. Columbia is trading at a P/E multiple of 15.96, significantly down from nearly 20 times earnings in Q3 of last year.

Past Year Performance:

The stock has traded volatilely over the last 52 weeks.  The largest drop offs were at a missed earnings in April, the market correction in October, and most recently the market correction in December. After each drop the stock recovered – but not fully – to the pre correction price.  The company has beat earnings for the first time in over 4 quarters and is trading up on a special dividend.


Source: FactSet
My Takeaway:

Management has positioned the loan to deposit ratio of this bank well and maintains excess capacity to continue loan growth.  The current payout ratio of the bank is slightly higher than one may like to see as there might not be significant growth projects available to the bank. 


Source: FactSet