Thursday, October 28, 2021

A Small Cap Equity holding: Beam Global (BEEM 28.75): “Running Low on Battery” By: Jacob Kello, AIM Student at Marquette University

 Beam Global (BEEM 28.75): “Running Low on Battery”

By: Jacob Kello, AIM Student at Marquette University

Disclosure: The AIM Equity Fund currently holds this position. This article was written by myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it and I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Summary

  • Beam Global (BEEM, 28.75) offers plug-and-play solution for modern energy problems. The company currently has two product offerings: the EV Arc, which is the only 100% renewable, transportable, and off-grid EV charging station on the market, and the Solar Tree, which offers charging solutions for medium and heavy-duty electric vehicles.
  • The company receives 100% of its revenues from the United States, ad relies heavily on government contracts to sell its products. BEEM operates out of San Diego, CA.
  • Since being added to the portfolio, the stock has dropped from $48.44 to $28.75. The target price for the stock was $104.59. The 52-week beta for this stock is 2.8, representing an extremely high volatility that has yet to provide any upside.
  • The AIM Small Cap Domestic fund should sell its position in Beam Global as it continues to decrease in value.

KEY POINTS

In the year 2020, the global electric vehicle (EV) market size was valued at $246.74 Billion, which was down 9.7% from 2019 due to the global COVID-19 pandemic. However, Fortune Business Insights, a company which specializes in the research of sectors, projects that by 2027, the EV market will grow to 985.72 billion USD which represents a CAGR of 17.4%. In unit terms, the global EV market demand was estimated at 8.5 million vehicles in 2020 and is projected to reach 116 million units by 2030 according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance. Demand for EV’s clearly exists and is being met by newer EV companies and some traditionally internal-combustion engine auto companies which are now producing more EV lines. While the demand for Electric vehicles clearly exists, the demand for public charging stations has stalled due to slow-moving infrastructure bills, and the Biden Administration’s climate agenda no longer being a part of the bill. This unfortunately has some not-so-great implications for a stock in the AIM Small Cap Domestic Fund—Beam Global.

The most important driver of earnings for BEEM was its GSA MAS contract with the federal government that allows federal institutions to purchase EV Charging products specifically from BEEM Global. At the beginning of the new presidency, the Biden administration also had committed to deploying over 500,000 EV charging stations by 2030. This commitment was clearly contingent on a climate-centric infrastructure bill, and it was very recently announced that the administration’s climate agenda will be completely removed from the bill due to opposition within the democratic party coming mainly from West Virginia Democratic Senator Joe Manchin.

The company has yet to turn a profit, and it doesn’t look like it will by 2025 which is when it was projected to turn a profit when it was bought by the fund. Even with the levelized cost of energy for photovoltaic solar being the lowest it has ever been and continuing to decrease, materials costs to produce solar panels and batteries have continually increased which obviously hurts a company that relies on solar power storage to charge electric vehicles.

What has the stock done lately?

Recently, the stock has been fairly stagnant. Since May of 2021, the stock has continuously above and below $30, and since adding the stock to the Small Cap Domestic Fund, it has gone down by 40.65%. On October 7th, the company released news that they had received an order from the United States Marine Corps to purchase EV Arc and energy resiliency systems for 14 of their bases, and the per share price only rose 2.4% by the end of the week. This stock is stagnant, and will continue to be stagnant unless the infrastructure bill includes climate provisions which is looking unlikely.

Past Year Performance

BEEM has fallen 61.03% YTD and over a 52-week period has increased by 85.01%. The 52-week high-low for AMRC is 14.15 – 75.90. The 52 week beta for Beam Global is 2.8, representing very high volatility in comparison to the market.

Source: FactSet

My Takeaway

The investment thesis for BEEM global has yet to pan out and does not look like it will anytime soon. The upside for BEEM was heavily dependent on their GSA MAS contract with the federal government, and that contract was also dependent on the infrastructure bill that congress was expected to have passed long ago. Also, with Senator Joe Manchin stalling any action in regards to a climate bill, it is not expected that the most important driver for this stock will pan out anytime soon. With that being said, it is recommended that BEEM should be sold and taken out of the AIM Small Cap Domestic Fund.